Thursday, November 20, 2014
A House Is Not a Credit Card
By BETHANY McLEAN
November 13, 2014
THIS
fall, federal regulators made a controversial decision to back down
from tough new underwriting standards for mortgages. Some
affordable-housing advocates, allied with parts of the corporate housing
industry, had successfully argued that the proposed standards would
make it too hard for people to qualify, thereby reducing homeownership
and hurting the housing market. Last summer, that same trump card
stopped a bipartisan bill to reform the mortgage market, more than six
years after Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had to be taken over by the
government.
All of this ignores a crucial
fact: Much, and at times most, of what happens in the mortgage market
doesn’t have anything to do with homeownership. A sizable percentage of
mortgages — including most of the risky ones that were made in the
run-up to the financial crisis — are not used to buy a home. They’re
used to refinance an existing mortgage. When home prices are rising and
mortgage rates are falling, many homeowners choose to replace their
mortgage with a bigger one, taking the difference in cash. In other
words, mortgages are a way to provide credit.
Refinancing
is a relatively modern phenomenon. According to Joshua Rosner, a
managing director at the research consultancy Graham Fisher &
Company, by 1977, only 8 percent of homeowners had ever refinanced. By
1999, 47 percent had refinanced at least once. By the peak of the
bubble, homeowners were extensively using refinancings to extract cash.
Mr. Rosner also points out that while homeownership peaked in 2004, home
prices peaked in 2006, because refinancing drove up prices.
One
of the most abjectly false narratives about the financial crisis is
that risky mortgages proliferated so that people who couldn’t afford
homes could nonetheless buy them. Modern subprime lending was not about
homeownership. Instead, the 1990s crop of subprime mortgage makers
allowed people with bad credit to borrow against the equity in their
existing homes. According to a joint HUD-Treasury report published in 2000,
by 1999, a staggering 82 percent of subprime mortgages were
refinancings, and in nearly 60 percent of those cases, the borrower
pulled out cash, adding to his debt burden. The report noted that
“relatively few subprime mortgages are used to purchase a house.”
According
to the financial statements of New Century, the huge lender whose
bankruptcy in early 2007 helped kick off the financial crisis, cash-out
refinancings were 64.2 percent and 59.5 percent of its business in 2003
and 2004; home purchase loans made up only 25 percent to 35 percent for
the two years. A New Century executive told Congress that its customers
needed to “tap into their home equity to meet other financial needs,
such as paying off higher-interest consumer debt, purchasing a car,
paying for educational or medical expenses and a host of other personal
reasons.” I’ll always remember seeing a bank ad blowing in the windy,
bleak Chicago winter of 2009. “Let your home take you on vacation,” it
read.
According to Jason Thomas, now the
director of research at the Carlyle Group, only about a third of
subprime mortgages that were turned into mortgage-backed securities
between 2000 and 2007 were used to buy homes.
Putting
the financial crisis aside, the logic behind this is completely messed
up. If we want homes to be a vehicle for saving and building wealth, as
they used to be, why are we instead encouraging people to increase their
indebtedness? Even worse, we now know that too much credit results in
people who once owned their homes losing them. It creates homelessness,
not homeownership.
The problem, of course,
is that the conflation of homeownership and consumer credit is so
convenient for the powers that be. It allows lenders to cloak themselves
in the American-as-apple-pie mantle of homeownership, thereby making it
less likely that anyone will crack down on their practices. It allows
members of Congress, many of whom depend on the financial industry for
campaign contributions, to pretend that something that’s bad for us is
actually a good thing for which we should be grateful.
There’s
an argument that refinancing doesn’t much matter today. Because
interest rates can’t go much lower, and home prices aren’t skyrocketing,
“refis” will be a smaller part of the market. According to Freddie Mac,
28 percent of borrowers took cash out in the third quarter of 2014. But
that’s still a significant percentage of the market, and ideally, we’re
setting up a housing finance system that should be right not just for
now, but for decades to come.
One possible
solution would be much tougher standards for cash-out refinancings than
for mortgages used for purchases, such as requiring far more equity in a
home, or making lenders keep the loan on their own books instead of
selling it. Or perhaps Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac shouldn’t be allowed
to guarantee payment on a mortgage unless it is used to purchase a
primary residence.
In Washington, there’s been
scarce public discussion of this. But if we’re going to put government
resources behind homeownership, and engage in practices that threaten
the safety of the financial system in the name of homeownership,
shouldn’t we at least talk about the fact that we’re actually
encouraging the opposite?
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